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This Gap Up Could Be Faded
www.oneoption.com
We’ve seen some selling pressure the last few days. Watch for red candles into the gap in the first 30 minutes.
PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS WEDNESDAY – The price action this week has been soft and we’ve seen some profit taking. The volume has been decent and the headwinds are blowing. This morning the CPI came in as expected (.3%) and the S&P 500 rallied over 20 points on the news. There were probably some nervous jitters heading into the number and I view this as a relief rally.
I don’t view this gap up as justified. The number wasn’t that good and this gap could easily be faded. If I see two nice long red candles into the gap to start the day, I will be ready to short.
Pete’s bearish! Only short-term and only on the open if I see this pattern. I am playing the odds and watching the price action. I’ve seen selling pressure the last couple of days so I know there are profit takers. I also watched the market drift lower after a strong jobs report. That was a warning sign. I’m aware that there is a seasonal bullish bias and that I am trading against a longer-term up trend.
From a swing standpoint, you should be largely in cash.
From a day trading standpoint, be flexible and see both sides. Let the day play out and wait for your set-ups. They could be on the long or short side. I’m not as concerned about a market lift off as I was a week ago. The market is nearing resistance and that will keep a lid on the action. If the early gains hold for more than the first 45 minutes with minor retracement, I have no issue embracing the rally and trading from the long side.
Support is the low from yesterday and resistance is around $606.30.
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