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Light News Favors the Trend
www.oneoption.com
The market is poised to drift higher and a speedbump was averted this morning.
PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS WEDNESDAY – Yesterday the market opened a little higher and we knew that overseas markets would provide a headwind. They were trading lower and we have the same backdrop this morning. At an all-time high, the bid is going to be tested every day. Buyers want to test support and once it has been confirmed, they will nibble. They will not chase gaps up, but they will buy dips. That knowledge tells us to do the same. Drops will not manifest into deep waves of profit taking so we don’t need to worry about that. There’s no news to spark that type of selling pressure.
This morning the CPI had the potential to create a little “speedbump”. A “hot” number would have sparked a little selling pressure. This was nothing to be overly concerned about. The Fed just got the latest PCE reading and they cut rates by 25 basis points last week. The CPI came in at .2% and the S&P 500 shot 20 points higher. Tomorrow we will get the PPI and Friday we will get Retail Sales. This is a light news week and that favors the current trend.
Be patient on the open and wait for the market to find support. The range this week has been from $594 – $600 and we are smack dab in the middle of it. We are likely to stay in that range and the volume will be light. The market needs to digest the gains from last week and some of the supply needs to be absorbed. This could take a few more days. During the next week (baring any unexpected negative news), the bid will strengthen and the market will be ready to start the next leg higher.
You should have starter swings on and one add to the original position. Your average cost is well below the current level and you are waiting for the bid to build. You are looking for strong stocks and you are ready to add.
From a day trading perspective, you are waiting for signs of support and you are finding stocks with relative strength. I believe that the drop and nice strong bounce off of the low yesterday will give buyers some confidence today. Overseas selling was not that heavy and the good CPI reading will also interest buyers. Translation: I don’t think we will see the same level of selling that we saw yesterday and support should be established earlier in the day. We don’t trade what we think, we trade what we see. Watch the early price action. The overnight low was $595.20 and I am not expecting us to test that low.
Support is at $594 and resistance is at $600.
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