Daily Commentary: September 15, 2025

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Interest Rate Cut Expected This Week

Posted by Pete Stolcers on September 15
www.oneoption.com

The Fed is expected to cut rates this Wednesday by 25 basis points.

PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS MONDAY – Another day and another new market high. The market is not concerned with deteriorating economic conditions, it is focused on the pending rate cut and the believe that this will stimulate growth.

Elon Musk purchased 2.5 million shares of TSLA last Friday and he has not bought shares in almost 5 years. That has the stock soaring higher.

I won’t chase gaps up to a new all-time high. The market is likely to give us a pullback during the trading day and I will wait for that entry. The SPY is a good distance above the EMA 8 and I feel that the upside is relatively contained ahead of the Fed. It is likely to tread water until it catches up or pullback to it. In either case, there is no need to FOMO into trades this morning.

I am keeping my trade duration short term ahead of a major event.

Overseas markets were up marginally so there is a small tailwind.

Support is the high from Friday and resistance is… ?

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