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Market Update – Buyers Are Not Aggressive
www.oneoption.com
This week the market was able to hold the breakout, but there was no follow through buying.
PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS FRIDAY – In the last week the market got everything it could have possibly wanted. The Fed cut rates by 50 basis points (more than expected), they said that economic conditions are steady and we got good earnings from the tech sector (MU). The S&P 500 rallied to a new all-time high, but it has not been able to advance this week. If Asset Managers felt that the recent news changed the macro backdrop, they would have viewed this as an excellent entry point and the market would be making a new all-time high this morning. Given the price action in the last week, I feel that the best we can hope for is a gradual float higher.
This week, Congress passed the continuing resolution. That was widely expected, but it should have had a slight upward influence. Initial jobless claims were low (218K), GDP was good and the PCE deflator was good this morning (.1%). We also have end of month buying that should attract some buyers. Even with all of this, the market has not been able to advance above the high from last week.
I feel that from the economic releases next week will be very important. In particular, the jobs report. Good news will be good news and bad news will be bad news. Given the 4-week moving average for initial jobless claims, I believe we should see 150K new jobs. I also sense that we are one bad economic report away from a decent market drop. The buying has been very tenuous.
I can’t justify adding to swing longs. Stick with starter positions and manage them. From a day trading perspective, be patient and buy dips.
Support is at SPY $572.88 and resistance is at the all-time high.
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