Early Look

Wednesday, July 14, 2021

Futures	Up/Down	%	Last
Dow	2.00	0.01%	34,778
S&P 500	3.25	0.08%	4,364
Nasdaq	52.50	0.35%	14,917

 

 

U.S. stock futures looking mixed with the Dow and S&P 500 looking little changed, though the Nasdaq Comp edges higher as Treasury yields ease despite the highest inflation reading since 2008 yesterday in the form of consumer prices (CPI) and ahead of June Producer Prices (PPI) later this morning. In Washington, Fed Chairman Powell testifies before the House at 10:00 on monetary policy (who has been saying the recent spike in prices in transitory and prices will normalize once supply chain bottlenecks get resolved and the economy gets back on track.) while overnight, Senate Democrats announce $3.5 trillion budget agreement. This morning, financials dominate earnings with Bank America and BlackRock out already, with Citi, Wells Fargo and PNC expected later this morning. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -109 points to 28,608, the Shanghai Index slid -38 points to 3,528, the Hang Seng Index dropped -175 points (0.63%) to 27,787. In Europe, the German DAX is down 30 points to 15,760, while the FTSE 100 is down roughly -40 points to 7,085.

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

·     The S&P 500 Index dropped -15.42 points, or 0.35%, to 4,369.21

·     The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -107.39 points, or 0.31%, to 34,888.79

·     The Nasdaq Composite slumped -55.59 points, or 0.38%, to 14,677.65

·     The Russell 2000 Index declined -42.96 points, or 1.88% to 2,238.86

 

Events Calendar for Today

·     7:00 AM ET         MBA Mortgage Applications Data

·     8:30 AM ET         Producer Price Index (CPI) MoM for June…est. 0.6%

·     8:30 AM ET         PPI Ex: Food & Energy (core) MoM for June…est. 6.8%

·     8:30 AM ET         Producer Price Index (CPI) YoY for June…est. 0.5%

·     8:30 AM ET         PPI Ex: Food & Energy (core) YoY for June…est. 5.1%

·     10:30 AM ET      Weekly DOE Inventory Data

 

Earnings Calendar:

·     Earnings Before the Open: AYR, BAC, BLK, C, DAL, PNC, WFC

·     Earnings After the Close: CIDM

 

Other Key Events:

·     Fed Chairman Powell to appear before House Financial Service Committee

·     Bloomberg Business Summit Global, 7/13-7/14 (virtual)

·     China House Price, Industrial Output and Retail sales for June

 

 

Macro	Up/Down	Last
Nymex	-0.55	74.70
Brent	-0.59	75.90
Gold	7.20	1,814.95
EUR/USD	0.0016	1.1792
JPY/USD	-0.14	110.49
10-Year Note	-0.017	1.398%

 

 

World News

·     Fitch affirms United States at ‘AAA’; outlook negative; Fitch says U.S. sovereign rating is supported by structural strengths that include size of economy, high per capita income and dynamic business environment; Fitch says considers U.S. debt tolerance to be higher than that of other ‘AAA’ sovereigns; Fitch on U.S. says negative outlook on rating reflects ongoing risks to public finances and debt trajectory

·     Democrats on the Senate Budget Committee agreed to roughly $3.5 trillion in spending for their broad healthcare and antipoverty plan, determining the scope of the party’s expected efforts on education, climate change, child care and a host of other issues while it has control of Congress and the White House.

·     UK June CPI higher as rises 2.5% yoy vs 2.2% consensus; m/m 0.5% vs 0.2% consensus; Core: y/y 2.3% vs 2.0% consensus; m/m 0.5% vs 0.2% consensus

 

Sector News Breakdown

Consumer

·     L Brands (LB) guides 2Q EPS $1.20-1.30 vs. est. $1.02, revs $2.351B vs. est. $3.27B, says sales negatively impacted by closure of stores for approx half of qtr due to covid

·     CorePoint Lodging (CPLG) said it continued to execute on its non-core disposition strategy with 25 non-core hotels sold in the Q2, for a combined gross sales price of ~$143M during the quarter, resulting in 175 hotels owned as of June 30, 2021; said it explores strategic alternatives

·     International Game Technology (IGT) said it is expanding its U.S. sports betting footprint to Washington to power sports betting at Snoqualmie Casino

·     Kura Sushi (KRUS) 3Q adj EPS ($0.54) vs. est. ($0.56) on sales $18.5Mm vs. est. $15.5Mm

·     Aspen Group (ASPU) 4Q EPS ($0.09) vs. est. ($0.05) on revs $19.1Mm vs. est. $18.5Mm; guides FY22 revs $85-88Mm vs. est. $85.7Mm and sees year EPS loss (18c-12c) vs. est. profit $0.04

·     Ulta Beauty (ULTA) upgraded to Outperform at Raymond James with $395 tgt which assumes shares hold their current multiple on next year’s earnings one year out

 

Energy

·     The American Petroleum Institute (API)

·     SandRidge Energy (SD) President and CEO Carl Giesler, Jr. has resigned effective July 16 to pursue another career opportunity

·     Oil prices fell on demand concerns after data showed that China’s first-half crude imports dropped, but were still holding near a one-week high. China’s crude imports dropped by 3% from January to June compared with a year earlier, the first such contraction since 2013

 

Financials

·     Bank America (BAC) Q2 EPS $1.03 vs. est. $0.77; Q2 revs $21.5B vs. est. $21.8B

·     BlackRock (BLK) Q2 adj EPS $10.03 vs. est. $9.36; Q2 revs $4.82B vs. est. $4.61B; reports $81B of quarterly total net inflows, driven by continued momentum across the platform; AUM at qtr-end were about $9.50 trillion vs $7.32 trillion reported at q2 2020 end

·     Ally Financial (ALLY) announces $2B share buyback, and raises dividend

·     Victory Capital (VCTR) reported $161.93B in assets under management (AUM) as of June 30, 2021, compared with May’s AUM of $160.93B

 

Healthcare

·     scPharmaceuticals (SCPH) announced positive top-line results from its FREEDOM-HF study that was designed to evaluate the effect of FUROSCIX on heart failure-related costs in patients with chronic heart failure

·     Celldex (CLDX) 5.952M share Secondary priced at $42.00

·     Speaking at STAT’s Breakthrough Science Summit yesterday, Eli Lilly (LLY) CEO David Ricks said the company is confident its treatment, donanemab, merits the same accelerated FDA approval granted to Aduhelm. From there, Lilly can take its standard approach to competition with other products, Ricks said

·     LeMaitre (LMAT) 1M share Spot Secondary priced at $54.50

 

Industrials, Materials & Transports

·     American Airlines (AAL) said it expects to report between a net loss of $35M and a net profit of $25M in Q2; sees Q2 revs to be down about 37.5% yoy; says ex effect of net special items, expects to report net loss of $1.1B-$1.2B in Q2; said expects to report a slight second quarter 2021 pretax profit and to end Q2 with about $21.3 billion in total available liquidity; expects average daily cash build rate for Q2 to be about $1 mln per day, first positive qtr since beginning of pandemic; sees Q2 net loss per share excluding net special credits about $1.67-$1.76

·     Delta Air Lines (DAL) confirms that it entered into agreements to add 29 used Boeing 737-900ERs and lease seven used Airbus A350-900s as it continues to streamline and modernize its fleet

 

Technology, Media & Telecom

·     Apple (AAPL) has asked suppliers to build as many as 90 million next-generation iPhones this year, a 20% increase from its 2020 iPhone shipments, Bloomberg reported, citing people with knowledge of the matter. Apple has maintained a consistent level in recent years of roughly 75 million units for its launch period, which runs from September-October to the end of the year

·     eBay Inc (EBAY) has agreed to sell part of its stake in Norway’s Adevinta to private equity firm Permira for $2.25 billion in cash, clearing the way for a tie-up between eBay and Adevinta’s classified ads businesses

·     Broadcom (AVGO) is said no longer in talks buy SAS Institute after a WSJ report yesterday that SAS may be acquired for $15B-$20B. The founders of the SAS Institute changed their minds on a potential sale after news of the possible sale – WSJ https://on.mktw.net/3i6jBwC

·     Google (GOOGL) was fined $593M by France’s Competition Authority for allegedly failing to negotiate in good faith with French publishers in a dispute over payments for their news