Early Look

Tuesday, July 20, 2021

Futures	Up/Down	%	Last
Dow	182.00	0.53%	34,582
S&P 500	16.25	0.38%	4,331
Nasdaq	8.50	0.06%	14,731

 

 

U.S. stocks continue to recover from an early-week selloff prompted by fears surrounding the rapidly-spreading Delta variant as major averages rose about 1.6% on Tuesday, with investors again taking any market pullback as an opportunity to jump back into equities. A handful of Dow components expected to report earnings this morning with Johnson & Johnson, Coca-Cola and Verizon coming up. In Washington, a $1.2T bipartisan infrastructure bill will face an initial procedural floor vote in U.S. Senate today, which aims to upgrade roads and bridges, water systems and expand broadband Internet. European equities are in the green, extending opening gains to trade near best levels for the week as travel the strongest sector followed by retail and banking names. Crude futures drift higher as September WTI rises over 1% to trade back on a $68-handle and Brent trades back above $70. Netflix (NFLX) shares little changed after mixed earnings results overnight. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index climbed 159 points to 27,548, the Shanghai Index gained 25 points to 3,562 and the Hang Seng Index slipped -34 points to 27,224. In Europe, the German DAX is up over 130 points to 15,350, while the FTSE 100 gains over 100 points (1.58%) to move just below the 7,000 level.

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

·     The S&P 500 Index gained 64.57 points, or 1.52%, to 4,323.06

·     The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 549.95 points, or 1.62%, to 34,511.99

·     The Nasdaq Composite surged 223.89 points, or 1.57%, to 14,498.88

·     The Russell 2000 Index advanced 63.62 points, or 2.99% to 2,194.30

 

Events Calendar for Today

·     7:00 AM ET         MBA Mortgage Applications Data

·     10:30 AM ET      Weekly DOE Inventory Data

 

Earnings Calendar:

·     Earnings Before the Open: AFI, ANTM, BHLB, BKR, BOKF, CMA, FCFS, HOG, IPG, JNJ, KNX, KO, LAD, LVS, MKTX, MTB, NDAQ, NTRS, STX, TZOO, USAP, VZ, WRLD

·     Earnings After the Close: BANR, BXS, CCI, CNS, CSX, CVLG, DFS, EFX, EGBN, FR, GGG, GL, GSBC, INBK, KALU, KMI, LOB, LSTR, MC, NTGR, NVEC, OMF, PLXS, REXR, RGP, RLI, SLG, SLM, STC, STL, TBK, TCBI, THC, TSC, TXN, UFPI, UMPQ, VMI, WASH, WHR

 

 

Macro	Up/Down	Last
Nymex	0.85	68.05
Brent	0.90	70.25
Gold	-6.30	1,804.00
EUR/USD	-0.0007	1.1774
JPY/USD	0.25	110.10
10-Year Note	+0.036	1.245%

 

 

Sector News Breakdown

Consumer

·     Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) shares rise 4%; 2Q adj EPS $7.46 vs. est. $6.52 on revs $1.9B vs. est. $1.88B, digital sales +10.5% (48.5% of total sales), qtrly comps +31.2%, qtrly restaurant level op mgn 24.5%; guides 3Q comps sales +low-mid-double-digits, sees 3Q at or slightly above +200 new restaurants

·     Lands’ End (LE) raises Q2 revs to $380M-$385M, up from prior view $345M-$355M; raises Q2 adj Ebitda to $36M-$38M from prior view $20M-$23M and ups EPS view to $0.39-$0.43 from prior $0.05-$0.12 (est. $0.07); also raises year revs, income and Ebitda views

·     Sleep Number (SNBR) shares fall -9% on miss; 2Q EPS $0.88 vs. est. $1.16 on net sales $484.3Mm missing the est. $511Mm; guides FY EPS at least $7.25 vs est. $6.79 (assumes 25% tax rt for remainder of the year)

·     Harley Davidson (HOG) 2Q adj EPS $1.41 vs est. $1.17 on revs $1.53B vs est. $1.41B, qtrly motorcycle shipments 56,700 vs 28,400 yr-ago; qtrly worldwide motorcycle retail sales 65,300 vs 52,700 yr-ago; guides FY motorcycle segment revs +30-35%, sees FY financial svcs segment op inc +75-85%

·     Lithia Motors (LAD) Q2 adj EPS $11.12 vs. est. $5.85; Q2 revs $6.01B vs. est. $4.99B; qtrly new vehicle retail sales increased 130.0% and qtrly used vehicle retail sales increased 95.7%

·     Tesla (TSLA) plans to open its network of superchargers to other electric vehicles later this year, CEO Elon Musk said on Twitter; the co’s fast charging network, with over 25,000 superchargers globally, has given it a competitive edge

·     VICI Properties (VICI) entered into a strategic arrangement with Great Wolf Resorts whereby VICI Properties may provide certain financing for the construction and development of Great Wolf Lodge resorts throughout the United States

·     United Airlines (UAL) Q2 op revs $5.47B vs. est. $5.35B; 2Q adj EPS ($3.91) vs est. ($3.91), capacity -46%, 3Q est. capacity -26%; sees 3Q TRASM positive vs 3Q19; expects 4Q adj pre-tax income to be positive; Q2 operating expenses down 42%, down 32% excluding special charges, compared to q2 2019

 

Energy

·     The American Petroleum Institute (API) reports that crude inventories rose 806,000 barrels last week, gasoline inventories rose 3.31M barrels and distillate stockpiles fell -1.225M barrels

·     Avangrid (AGR) Q2 adj EPS 35c vs. est. 41c; Q2 revs $1.48B vs. est. $1.52B; cuts FY21 adjusted EPS view to $2.04-2.22 from $2.25-$2.45 (est. $2.36)

·     Halliburton (HAL) upgraded to Buy from Neutral at Goldman Sachs

 

Financials

·     CME Group (CME) raises crude oil future Nymex (cl) maintenance margins to $5,450/contract from $5,300 for sept. 2021

·     Fulton Financial (FULT) Q2 EPS $0.38 vs. est. $0.33; Q2 net interest income (NII) $162M vs. $152.7M last year; Q2 net interest margin 2.73% vs. 2.81% last year

·     Hope Bancorp (HOPE) 2Q EPS $0.43 vs est. $0.38, NII $126.6Mm vs est. $127.1Mm

·     Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Q2 adj EPS $0.82 vs. est. $0.83; Q2 revs $754M vs. est. $681.28M; Net interest income increased $78 million, or 40%, from the year-ago quarter; Commission revenue increased $31 million, or 11%, from the year-ago quarter

·     Preferred Bank (PFBC) 2Q EPS $1.44 vs est. $1.46, NII $43.4Mm vs est. $46.6Mm

·     National Storage (NSA) 8.8M share Spot Secondary priced at $51.25

·     Signature Bank (SBNY) 2.5M share Spot Secondary priced at $235.50

·     Shift4 Payments (FOUR) announces offering of 1.79M shares of Class A common stock

·     United Community Bank (UCBI) Q2 EPS $0.78 vs. est. $0.67; Q2 return on assets (ROA) was 1.46% and its return on common equity was 14.1% for the quarter. On an operating basis, United’s ROA was 1.48% and its return on tangible common equity was 17.8%. On a pre-tax, pre-provision basis, operating return on assets was 1.67% for the quarter.

 

Healthcare

·     Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 adj EPS $2.48 vs. est. $2.27; Q2 revs $23.31B vs. est. $22.19B; company increasing 2021 full-year guidance for sales and eps; sees 2021 adjusted operational sales change vs. prior year 12.5%-13.5%; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to $9.50-$9.60 from $9.30-$9.45 (est. $9.52) and raises FY21 revenue view to $93.8B-$94.6B from $90.6B-$91.6B

·     Anthem (ANTM) Q2 adj EPS $7.03 vs. est. $6.33; Q2 revs $33.3B vs. est. $33.21B; raises FY21 adjusted EPS view to greater than $25.50 vs. est. $25.23 and above prior view for greater than $25.10; its benefit expense ratio – the percentage of premiums paid for medical services – worsened to 86.8% from 77.9% a year earlier

·     Cytokinetics (CYTK) 10M share Secondary priced at $27.50

·     Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q2 adj EPS $3.92 vs. est. $3.07; Q2 revs $1.46B vs. est. $1.26B; shipped 328 da Vinci Surgical Systems, an increase of 84% compared with 178 in Q2 of 2020; grew its da Vinci Surgical System installed base to 6,335 systems as of June 30, an increase of 10% compared with 5,764 as of the end of Q2 of 2020; raises FY21 procedure growth view to 27%-30% from 22%-26% and sees FY21 gross profit margin 70.5%-71.5% of revenue

·     Natera (NTRA) files to sell $350M of common stock

·     SmileDirectClub, Inc. (SDC) announced that an en banc panel of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Eleventh Circuit sided with the company, rejecting the Georgia Board of Dentistry’s attempt to shield itself from antitrust liability through an interlocutory appeal.

·     Celyad Oncology (CYAD) highlights new preclinical allogeneic armored CAR T candidate developed from its shRNA platform; the submission of IND application for CYAD-203, a new first-in-class shRNA-based allogeneic, IL-18-armored CAR T candidate, expected in mid-2022

 

Industrials & Materials

·     AAR Corp. (AIR) Q4 adj EPS $0.47 vs. est. $0.48; Q4 sales $437.6M vs. est. $422.6M; Q4 adj Ebitda $34.3M up +60% y/y

·     Canadian National (CNI) Q2 adj EPS C$1.49 (in-line with est.) vs. C$1.28 YoY; Q2 revenue C$3.6B versus C$3.21B last year; reaffirms 2021 outlook; still targeting double-digit adjusted eps growth for 2021 and still sees high single-digit volume growth in for 2021; quarterly carloads 1.47 mln vs 1.29 mln

·     Forestar Group (FOR) 3Q EPS $0.32 vs est. $0.40 on revs $312.9Mm vs est. $307.6Mm; says housing conditions remain favorable across the country, now expect to deliver between 15,500-16,000 lots in FY

·     Rexnord Corp. (RXN) 2Q adj EPS $0.58 vs est. $0.50 on sales $568Mm vs est. $543.9Mm; expects 3Q sales in WM platform to increase high-teens % YoY

·     Rush Enterprise (RUSHA) 2Q EPS $1.00 vs. est. $0.82 on revs $1.316B vs. est. $1.31B

 

Technology, Media & Telecom

·     Netflix (NFLX) 3Q EPS $2.97 vs. est. $3.16 on revs $7.34B vs. est. $7.32B, streaming net adds 1.54Mm w/ about 2/3 of global paid net adds from APAC; guides 3Q streaming net adds 3.5Mm 9vs. est. at 5.5Mm), sees 3Q revs $7.48B vs. est. $7.48B; says continue to target 20% operating margin for FY

·     Avnet (AVT) guides Q4 EPS $1.01-$1.05 vs. est. $0.79; said strong quarter-over-quarter sales growth in EMEA, Asia and Farnell, and continued operating improvement in the Americas, all contributed to better-than-expected results

·     Qualtrics (XM) Q2 EPS $0.04 vs. est. loss (2c); Q2 revs $249.3M vs. est. $241.63M; sees Q3 revs $257M-$259M vs. est. $246.6M; Q2 2021 Subscription Revenue of $204.5M, up 48% YoY; next 12 months remaining performance obligations of $754.8M, up 61% YoY

·     ASML Holdings (ASML) raises its 2021 sales outlook and announces a new share buyback, as orders for its equipment soared amid a global computer chip shortage; announces 9 bln euro ($10.60 bln) share buyback; said demand remained strong as major chipmakers raced to expand production capacity

·     SAP AG (SAP) Q2 revenue was 6.67 billion euros, up 1% from the year earlier quarter, or 3% higher adjusted for currency, and about in line with the Wall Street analyst consensus forecast at 6.69 billion euros; posted cloud revenue of 2.276 billion euros, up 11%, or 17% in constant currency, missing the Street consensus at 2.31 billion euros

·     CS Disco (LAW) 7M share IPO priced at $32.00

·     Paycor (PYCR) 18.5M share IPO priced at $23.00

·     VTEX (VTEX) 19M share IPO priced at $19.00