Early Look

Friday, June 4, 2021

Futures	Up/Down	%	Last
Dow	-60.00	0.17%	34,507
S&P 500	-3.25	0.07%	4,188
Nasdaq	-5.50	0.04%	13,524

 

 

U.S. stock futures are looking slightly lower after slipping on Thursday, as market focus remains on the monthly jobs report at 8:30 AM ET. Treasury yields are also little changed around the 1.61% level for the 10-year, trading in a narrow range over the last week while oil prices tick higher and gold prices unchanged around the $1.870 an ounce level. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index fell -116 points to 28,941, the Shanghai Index rose 7 points to 3,591 and the Hang Seng Index dipped -47 points to 28,918. In Europe, the German DAX is lower by about 10 points to 15,625, while the FTSE 100 drops around 20 points to 7,045. News flow is quiet ahead of the jobs report where expectations that the U.S. economy added 650K jobs and the unemployment rate to come in at 5.9%. Shares of so called “meme” stocks active again as AMC shares fall and Bitcoin prices drop back under $37K following another cryptic tweet from Tesla CEO Elon Musk.

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

·     The S&P 500 Index slipped -15.27 points, or 0.36%, to 4,192.85

·     The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell -23.34 points, or 0.07%, to 34,577.04

·     The Nasdaq Composite dropped -141.82 points, or 1.03%, to 13,614.51

·     The Russell 2000 Index declined -18.59 points, or 0.81% to 2,279.25

 

Events Calendar for Today

·     8:30 AM EST      Nonfarm Payrolls for May…est. 650K

·     8:30 AM EST      Private Payrolls for May…est. 600K

·     8:30 AM EST      Manufacturing Payrolls for May…est. 24K

·     8:30 AM EST      Unemployment Rate for May…est. 5.9%

·     8:30 AM EST      Average Hourly Earnings for May…est. 0.2%

·     10:00 AM EST    Factory Orders for April…est. (-0.2%)

·     1:00 PM EST       Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data

 

Earnings Calendar:

·     Earnings Before the Open: HOFT

 

Other Key Events:

·     American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) Annual Meeting (virtual), 6/4-6/8

·     Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference (virtual), 6/2-6/4

·     Goldman Sachs 3rd Asia Spotlight Symposium (virtual), 6/1-6/4

·     KeyBanc Capital Markets Industrials & Basic Materials Conference (virtual), 6/1-6/4

·     Piper Consumer Marketplace Conference (virtual), 6/2-6/4

 

 

Macro	Up/Down	Last
Nymex	0.22	69.03
Brent	0.21	71.52
Gold	-0.25	1,870.50
EUR/USD	-0.0016	1.2111
JPY/USD	-0.15	110.14
10-Year Note	-0.002	1.625%

 

 

World News

·     German May Construction PMI lower: 44.5 vs 46.2 previous

·     Eurozone April Retail Sales missed: -3.1% m/m vs -1.2% consensus, 23.9% y/y vs 25.5% consensus

 

Sector News Breakdown

Consumer

·     Lululemon Athletica (LULU) 1Q adj EPS $1.16 vs. est. $0.91 on revs $1.2B vs. est. $1.13B, direct to consumer revs +55% to $545.1Mm, opened two net new stores, inventory at qtr-end +17%; guides 2Q adj EPS $1.10-1.15 vs. est. $1.01, sees 2Q revs $1.3-1.33B vs. est. $1.2B; guides FY adj EPS $6.73-6.86 vs. est. $6.48, sees FY revs $5.825-5.905B vs. est. $5.68B

·     AMC Entertainment (AMC) shares fell after hours after saying it will ask its shareholders for the authority to issue 25 million shares, effective in 2022. The proposal contrasts with a previous request that shareholders authorize 500 million new shares. Yesterday completed its “at-the-market” equity sales program; it sold 11.55 mln shares, raised $587.4M at avg price of $50.85

·     ChargePoint (CHPT) Q2 EPS ($0.84) on revs $40.5Mm; guides 2Q revs $46-51Mm vs. est. $45.2Mm; sees FY revs $195-205Mm vs. est. $203.9Mm

·     Five Below (FIVE) 1Q EPS $0.88 vs. est. $0.65 on sales $597.8Mm vs. est. $551.1Mm; guides 2Q sales $640-660Mm vs. est. $584.3Mm, sees 2Q EPS $1.01-1.13 vs. est. $0.71

·     Quanex (NX) 2Q adj EPS $0.43 vs. est. $0.30 on revs $270.4Mm vs. est. $187.5Mm; guides FY net sales $1.04-1.06B vs. est. $956Mm, sees FY adj EBITDA $125-130Mm vs. est. $117.9Mm

·     Tilly’s (TLYS) 1Q EPS $0.36 vs. est. ($0.02) on revs $163.2Mm vs. est. $128.9Mm; not offering specific guidance at this time; sees Q2 sales, earnings better than 2020, 2019 if stores stay open

·     Zumiez (ZUMZ) Q1 EPS $1.03 vs. est. $0.04; Q1 revs $279.1M vs. est. $221.88M; not providing outlook for Q2 or year at this time; Compared to the first quarter ended May 4, 2019 (13 weeks), first quarter 2021 net sales increased 31.1%

·     Chatham Lodging Trust’s (CLDT) said May RevPAR of $88 for comparable hotels increased 17% from $75 in April; comp hotel occupancy rate in May improved to 70% from 65% in April and 46% in January

·     LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) announced it closed 911 homes in May 2021, up from 640 homes closed in May 2020, representing year-over-year growth of 42.3%

 

Energy, Industrials and Materials

·     Targa Resources (TRGP) to replace CoreLogic (CLGX) in S&P 400 at open on 6/9 (Stone Point Capital and Insight Partners are acquiring CoreLogic in a deal expected to be completed soon)

·     Northrop Grumman (NOC) upgraded to Buy from Hold at Stifel and raise tgt to $475 from $350 saying defense industry stocks are cheap and the market will eventually realize it

·     U.S. Steel (X) upgraded to Neutral from Sell at UBS and raised tgt to $30 from $15

·     ZIM Integrated (ZIM) 6.975M share Secondary priced at $40.00

·     Workhorse (WKHS) slides after Cowen downgrades the stock, saying that it now looks fairly valued following the retail trader-driven rally

 

Financials

·     Cboe Global Markets (CBOE) options total volume in May of 220.1M contracts rose 2.6% M/M and 15% Y/Y, while total average daily volume of 11.0M, up 7.7% from April and 15% from May 2020; Futures volume in May of 5.33M contracts increased 28% M/M and 99% Y/Y; total ADV of 266K contracts rose 34% from April.

·     Envestnet (ENV) to replace TCF Financial (TCF) in S&P 400 at open on 6/9 (HBAN is acquiring TCF)

·     Bitcoin shares slide over 5% to $36,600 following Elon Musk’s tweet in which he wrote the hashtag #Bitcoin with a broken heart emoji. He also referenced lyrics from “In the End,” a song by Linkin Park. – recall Bitcoin reached a record high of more than $64,000 in April

·     Wells Fargo (WFC) upgraded to Buy from Neutral and raise tgt to $60 at Bank America

·     The9 (NCTY) says to buy carbon-neutral cryptocurrency miner Montcrypto Ltd, to invest up to C$5.6 mln in two phases

 

Healthcare

·     Abbott Labs (ABT) said it plans a restructuring; costs are expected to be incurred during remainder of 2021 with majority of costs expected to be recorded in Q2; estimates pre-tax costs to be incurred to implement plan to be approximately $550M-$700M

·     Bristol Myers Squibb (BMY) presents data from CheckMate -648 showing Opdivo plus chemotherapy and Opdivo plus Yervoy significantly improved overall survival compared to chemotherapy in unresectable advanced or metastatic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

·     Cooper Companies (COO) 2Q adj EPS $3.38 vs. est. $3.09 on revs $719.5Mm vs. est. $690.2Mm; guides FY revs $2.855-2.885B vs. est. $2.83B, sees FY adj EPS $13.20-13.40 vs. est. $13.04

·     Galapagos (GLPG) announced that primary and secondary endpoint results from the phase 3 SELECTION induction and maintenance study were published in The Lancet.

·     Senseonics Holdings (SENS) rises after saying Promise study demonstrated strong accuracy of 180 Day CGM Sensor

·     Phreesia Inc. (PHR) Q1 EPS loss ($0.24) vs. est. loss ($0.17); Q1 revs $48.3M vs. est. $42.8M; raises year rev outlook to $191M-$194M from prior view $178M-$186M (est. $183.5M); avg number of provider clients was 1,902 in Q1 as compared to 1,632 in the same period in the prior year, an increase of 17%; avg revs per provider client was $20,222 in Q1 compared to $16,735 YoY, an increase of 21%

 

Technology, Media & Telecom

·     Asana (ASAN) Q1 adj EPS loss ($0.21) vs. est. loss ($0.27); Q1 revs $76.7M vs. est. $70.14M; raises FY22 rev outlook to $336M-$340M from $309M-$314M prior (est. $312.24M)

·     Broadcom (AVGO) Q2 adj EPS $6.62 vs. est. $6.43; Q2 revs $6.61B vs. est. $6.51B; sees Q3 revs $6.75B vs. est. $6.6B; sees Q3 adjusted EBITDA of approximately 60% of projected revenue; saw strength in demand for semiconductors across multiple end markets; says expecting free cash flow to remain strong in Q3

·     CrowdStrike (CRWD) 1Q adj EPS $0.10 vs. est. $0.06 on revs $302.8Mm vs. est. $291.4Mm, adds 1,542 net new subs in qtr, added $144Mm net new ARR in qtr; guides 2Q revs $318.3-324.4Mm vs. est. $310.2Mm, sees 2Q adj EPS $0.07-0.09 vs. est. $0.06; guides FY revs $1.347-1.365B vs est. $1.32B, sees FY adj EPS $0.35-0.41 vs. est. $0.30

·     DocuSign (DOCU) Q1 adj EPS $0.44 vs. est. $0.28; Q1 revs $469.1M vs. est. $437.81M; guides FY22 revs $2.027B-$2.039B vs. est. $1.98B; sees FY22 adjusted gross margin 79%-81%; Q1 Subscription revenue was $451.9M up 61% YoY; Q1 billings were $527.4M, up 54% YoY; Q1 GAAP gross margin was 78% compared to 75% in the same period last year

·     Meredith Corp. (MDP) is said to have received a higher bid from Standard General for its Local Media Group before it agreed to increased deal with Gray Television. Standard General was bidding with a group include Apollo Global (APO) and Sinclair Broadcast (SBGI), according to a DealReporter story, which cited sources familiar.

·     MongoDB (MDB) Q1 Non-Gaap EPS loss ($0.15) vs. est. loss ($0.37); Q1 revs $181.6M vs. est. $169.9M; Q1 Subscription revenue was $174.6 million, an increase of 40% YoY, and services revenue was $7.1 million, an increase of 29% YoY; sees FY22 non-GAAP EPS loss ($1.38)-($1.25) vs. est. loss ($1.43); guides FY22 revs $771.0M-$784.0M vs. est. $764.65M.

·     PagerDuty (PD) Q1 EPS loss (8c) vs. est. loss (9c); Q1 revs $63.6M vs. est. $61.95M; said over 16,800 companies now using PagerDuty to power their digital transformations; customers with annual recurring revenue over $1,000,000, up 55% YoY; sees Q2 EPS loss (16c)-(15c) vs. est. loss (9c); sees Q2 revs $64.5M-$66.5M vs. est. $63.8M

·     SAIC Corp. (SAIC) announced that it has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire Halfaker and Associates, LLC, a federal health technology solutions provider, for $250M; 1Q adj EPS $1.94 vs. est. $1.51 on revs $1.9B vs. est. $1.81B; guides FY22 adj EPS $6.15-6.40 vs. est. $6.30, sees FY22 revs $7.15-7.3B vs. est. $7.24B

·     Sumo Logic (SUMO) 1Q adj EPS ($0.11) vs. est. ($0.12) on revs $54.2Mm vs. est. $53.9Mm; guides 2Q revs $56.1-57.1Mm vs. est. $56.4Mm, sees 2Q adj EPS ($0.14) vs. est. ($0.12); guides FY revs $233-236Mm vs. est. $233.9Mm, sees FY adj EPS loss $0.55-0.57 vs. est. loss $0.48

·     The European Commission and the U.K. Competition and Markets Authority each said they were opening competition inquiries into social-media giant Facebook’s (FB) advertising services. The European Union said it’s looking to see whether Facebook violated EU competition rules by using advertising data gathered from advertisers in order to compete with them in markets where Facebook is active such as classified ads

·     United Microelectronics (UMC) reports May net sales grew 16.57%% Y/Y to NT$17.19B