Morning Preview: June 14, 2024

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Early Look

Friday, June 14, 2024

Futures

Up/Down

%

Last

Dow

-302.00

0.78%

38,375

S&P 500

-27.00

0.50%

5,411

Nasdaq

-47.00

0.24%

19,555

 

 

After registering record closing highs for a fourth session in a row on Thursday, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are looking sharply lower on this final day of trading for the week but remain on track for weekly gains. The Dow jones Industrial a different story, pointing to a lower open as well but on track for weekly losses. Strength in technology stocks this week amid lower Treasury yields, big earnings/guidance beats from AVGO and ORCL (and now ADBE last night) have helped boost the sector, while semiconductors (SOX) also come into the day at record highs. Tamer inflation readings for both the CPI and PPI have pushed Treasury yields lower, with the 10-yr yield at weekly lows around 4.2%. The number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits increased last week and another report showed producer prices unexpectedly fell in May, helping to keep alive hopes of a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. The Fed on Wednesday projected only one rate cut this year after its outlook in March included three quarter-percentage-point reductions. In Asian markets, The Nikkei Index rose 94 points to 38,814, the Shanghai Index edged higher 3 points to 3,032, and the Hang Seng Index declined -170 points to 17,941. In Europe, the German DAX is down -261 points to 18,003, while the FTSE 100 falls -47 points to 8,115. The Cac 40 index underperforms, falling -200 points or 2.6% to 7,507. European stocks headed for their worst week since October on growing concerns about political turmoil in France. Gold prices are higher, oil flat and the dollar adding to gains as expectations the Fed will hold rates steady “higher for longer” sink in.

 

Market Closing Prices Yesterday

  • The S&P 500 Index gained 12.71 points, or 0.23%, to 5,433.74.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average slid -65.11 points, or 0.17%, to 38,647.10.
  • The Nasdaq Composite climbed 59.12 points, or 0.34%, to 17,667.56.
  • The Russell 2000 Index declined -18.19 points, or 0.88% to 2,038.91.

Economic Calendar for Today

  • 8:30 AM ET                  Import Prices M/M for May…est. +0.1%
  • 8:30 AM ET                  Export Prices M/M for May…est. 0.0%
  • 10:00 AM ET                University of Michigan Sentiment, June-prelim…est. 72.0
  • 10:00 AM ET                University of Michigan 1 and 5-yr inflation expectations, June-prelim
  • 1:00 PM ET                   Baker Hughes Weekly rig count data
  • 2:00 PM ET                   Fed’s Goolsbee Speaks in Fireside Chat

Other Key Events:

  • European Hematology Association (EHA) 2024 Congress, 6/13-6/16, in Spain
  • RBC Capital Global Mining & Materials Conference, 6/13-6/14, in New York

 

 

Macro

Up/Down

Last

Nymex

-0.00

78.62

Brent

-0.03

82.72

Gold

25.00

2,343.00

EUR/USD

-0.0041

1.0694

JPY/USD

-0.07

156.95

10-Year Note

-0.035

4.205%

 

Sector News Breakdown

Consumer

  • RH Corp. (RH) Q1 adj EPS loss (-$0.40) vs. est. loss (-$0.12); Q1 revs $727.0M vs. est. $724.7M; forecasting adjusted operating margin to be in the range of 11% to 12% and adjusted EBITDA margin of 17% to 18% for Q2 and revs up 3%-4%; affirms FY24 revenue growth view of 8%-10%, implying $3.27B-$3.33B.
  • Shopify (SHOP) upgraded to Outperform from In Line at Evercore ISI with a $75 price target saying the recent pullback in the stock has created an attractive entry point to own a “best-in-class” e-commerce platform business.

Energy, Industrials and Materials

  • APA Corp. (APA) downgraded to In Line from Outperform at Evercore ISI and cut tgt to $39 from $52.
  • MSC Industrial (MSM) lowers FY24 adjusted EPS growth view to (4.7%)-(4.3%) from 0%-5%, sees Q3 adjusted EPS $1.32-$1.34, below consensus $1.55 and sees Q3 revenue $978M-$980M, vs. consensus $1.02B.
  • The Public Utility Commission of Texas (PUCT) approved the application from Texas-New Mexico Power Company (TNMP), the Texas utility subsidiary of PNM Resources, Inc. (PNM), to recover over $205M in net distribution infrastructure investments to reliably serve customers’ power needs since its last filing.

Financials

  • Bank of America (BAC) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at Keefe Bruyette and raised tgt to $46.
  • Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) downgraded to Underweight from Neutral at Piper Sandler and cut tgt to $11.50.

Healthcare

  • Avidity Biosciences (RNA) 10.55M share Secondary priced at $38.00.
  • Gain Therapeutics (GANX) 7.12M share Spot Secondary priced at $1.35.
  • IN8bio (INAB) data demonstrates durable 1-year complete remission in 100% of evaluable patients in phase 1 trial of INB-100; said 100% of treated leukemia patients (n=10/10) achieved durable complete remission at 1-year, including high-risk and relapsed acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients who had previously failed multiple lines of therapy, including CAR-T.
  • Stoke Therapeutics Inc (STOK) files for shelf of up to 10.8M shares of common stock by selling stockholders.
  • Ultragenyx (RARE) 7.44M share Secondary priced at $39.00.
  • Vaxart, Inc. (VXRT) said it received a project award valued at up to $453 million through the Rapid Response Partnership Vehicle. The RRPV is a Consortium funded by the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority, part of the Administration for Strategic Preparedness and Response in the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services.

Technology, Media & Telecom

  • Adobe Inc. (ADBE) Q2 EPS $4.48 vs. est. $4.09; Q2 revs $5.31B vs. est. $4.93B, driven by strong growth across Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and Experience Cloud; raises FY rev outlook to $21.40B-$21.50B from $21.30B-$21.50B; posted Q2 digital media net new ARR $487M, vs. est. $433.2M.
  • Iteris (ITI) Q4 adjusted EPS $0.07 vs. est. $0.03; Q4 revs $42.8M vs. est. $42.53M; sees Q1 revenue $43.5M-$45.5M, vs. consensus $46.4M and sees Q1 adjusted EBITDA margin 5.5%-6.5%.
  • MicroStrategy (MSTR) initiated at Outperform and $2,890 tgt at Bernstein.
  • Vodafone Group (VOD) is looking to sell its entire $2.3 bln stake in Indus Towers via stock market block deals next week, Reuters reported.

_________________________________________________________________

Market commentary provided by Hammerstone Markets, Inc, a firm separate from and not affiliated with Regal Securities. Regal Securities has not participated in the creation of the content, and does not explicitly or implicitly endorse the content.

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