The Bad News That Never Comes Posted by Pete Stolcers on July 03 www.oneoption.com Other data points suggested soft employment and they contradicted the BLS. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS THURSDAY – Given the rise in initial jobless claims during the last month, the weak ADP report and the Challenger Gray & Christmas layoffs report analysts were expecting a decline in job … Read More

Weak Jobs Report Likely Posted by Pete Stolcers on July 02 www.oneoption.com The market has been expecting a decline in jobs all year and it is likely to finally surface this week. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS WEDNESDAY – The Big Beautiful Bill is likely to pass in the next week and Republicans are trying to push it through before the 4th … Read More

Market Waiting For News Posted by Pete Stolcers on July 01 www.oneoption.com This week DC will be trying to pass the Big Beautiful Bill during a busy week of economic releases. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS TUESDAY – Yesterday the market was trapped in a very tight range and it make a new all-time high in the last hour of trading. The … Read More

Largest Options Expiration Today Posted by Pete Stolcers on June 20 www.oneoption.com Will $6.5 trillion in expiring options impact the market? PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS FRIDAY – This is the largest triple witching ever, but I don’t believe the market will have much of a reaction. Juneteenth disrupted the week and most of the positions were “rolled” earlier in the week. … Read More

Market Wants Softer Tone From Fed Posted by Pete Stolcers on June 18 www.oneoption.com The Fed is expected to leave rates unchanged today while most central banks have been easing. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS FED-DAY – China and the ECB have been cutting rates at a fast pace since last fall. They are not worried about inflation, they are trying to … Read More

Waiting For the Fed Posted by Pete Stolcers on June 17 www.oneoption.com Tomorrow’s FOMC Statement will provide a timeline for the next rate cut. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS TUESDAY – The last two days the market has been reacting to the war in the Middle East. Wars have a very temporary market impact and the US will not be putting “boots … Read More

Very Odd Trading Week Ahead Posted by Pete Stolcers on June 16 www.oneoption.com Traders will be waiting for the FOMC Statement and then there’s a holiday the next day. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS MONDAY – The S&P 500 is trading 40 points higher than the close Friday and any concerns over the Israel/Iran conflict are fading. Wars have a very temporary … Read More

Today Will Be a Great “Tell” Posted by Pete Stolcers on June 13 www.oneoption.com The Israel bombing of Tehran will grab the headlines, but wars have a very temporary market impact. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS FRIDAY – Wars have a very temporary market impact. You can look back at all of the wars over the last 20 years and you will … Read More

Lower Inflation and Employment Posted by Pete Stolcers on June 12 www.oneoption.com The PPI came in better than expected and initial jobless claims are rising. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS THURSDAY – Yesterday the market struggled to advance after inflation eased and a trade deal with China was announced. That is a sign of resistance and overseas markets were generally down overnight. … Read More

Inflation Down – Is That Good? Posted by Pete Stolcers on June 11 www.oneoption.com This morning the CPI came in better than expected and this gives the Fed breathing room to ease. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS WEDNESDAY – The market has been able to hold the breakout and it is floating higher on light volume. The news cycle will remain bullish … Read More