Daily Commentary: May 01, 2025

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The First Shoe Is About To Drop Posted by Pete Stolcers on May 01 www.oneoption.com The strength of this market bounce was not unexpected. Tough sledding from here out. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS THURSDAY – The market has rebounded nicely and it has broken above major resistance at SPY $550. The S&P 500 has rallied 200 points in the last 24 … Read More

Daily Commentary: April 30, 2025

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Economic Activity Is Slowing Posted by Pete Stolcers on April 30 www.oneoption.com The first reading for Q1 GDP was weaker than expected. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS WEDNESDAY – This morning we learned that Q1 GDP was -.3% (.4% growth expected) and projected prices increased 3.7% (3.1% expected). We have weaker growth and hotter than expected inflation. That is not a good … Read More

Daily Commentary: April 29, 2025

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The Start of a Busy News Cycle Posted by Pete Stolcers on April 29 www.oneoption.com Earnings releases and major economic reports are pending. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS TUESDAY – This is the calm before the storm. Yesterday buyers and sellers were engaged and we saw nice two-sided movement during the day. I am expecting the same today, but the range might … Read More

Daily Commentary: April 28, 2025

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Let It Run Posted by Pete Stolcers on April 28 www.oneoption.com The market has bounced to a level where we should start seeing signs of resistance. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS MONDAY – The market dropped 20% from its high and it bounced off of that low the last two weeks. The drop was not a mistake and there are macro issues. … Read More

Daily Commentary: April 25, 2025

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So Far… So Good Posted by Pete Stolcers on April 25 www.oneoption.com Mega cap tech reactions have been good to this point. Earnings season will crank up next week. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS FRIDAY – The news cycle is fluid and the market is reacting to tariffs and potential trade deals. Without any specifics, this price movement is noise. Next week … Read More

Daily Commentary: April 24, 2025

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Watch For a Dull Start Today Posted by Pete Stolcers on April 24 www.oneoption.com The market is going to open flat and there is major news pending. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS THURSDAY – The tariff news is starting to settle down. Trump has softened the tone and trade deals are pending. Google will post results after the close today and the … Read More

Daily Commentary: April 23, 2025

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This Is A Bounce… It Is Only A Bounce Posted by Pete Stolcers on April 23 www.oneoption.com One day the news is good… the next day it’s bad. We will have clarity in the next two weeks. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS WEDNESDAY – Two days ago it felt like the world was falling apart. The market tanked and Trump was going … Read More

Daily Commentary: April 22, 2025

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Most Likely Scenario Today Posted by Pete Stolcers on April 22 www.oneoption.com The market is going to wait for major news during the next 10 days. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS TUESDAY – I sense some frustration on the part of traders. The market has been volatile within a very wide range and many of you feel like you missed a great … Read More

Daily Commentary: April 21, 2025

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Reaction To Rhetoric and Not Substance Posted by Pete Stolcers on April 21 www.oneoption.com The market hates uncertainty and there’s plenty of it right now. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS MONDAY – The tariffs, Trump’s comments about Powell and earnings season and upcoming economic releases are making investors nervous. There isn’t any evidence that any of this is going to implode, but … Read More

Daily Commentary: April 17, 2025

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Is the ECB Rate Cut Good? Posted by Pete Stolcers on April 17 www.oneoption.com The market is addicted to easy money, but there’s a reason the central bank is easing. PRE-OPEN MARKET COMMENTS THURSDAY – This morning the ECB cut interest rates by 25 basis points and that was widely expected (94% odds). They are worried about economic growth prospects … Read More